Sunday, November 27, 2016

Trump's Monetary Deflation

Since Trump's election, we've seen an extraordinary strengthening of the dollar, as manifested in the fall in the price of gold and other commodities. This could lead to deflation - and a recession - if the fall in prices across the board is not balanced by the economic growth brought about by deregulation and supply-side tax cuts.

In supply-side economics, the dollar - or any currency - is seen as a commodity, one that goes up and down in value with supply and demand. If you have an excess supply of dollars, dollars become plentiful relative to goods, and the dollar price of goods will go up. Conversely, an excess demand for dollars leads to a scarcity of dollars relative to goods and a fall in dollar prices. Excess supply of dollars leads to inflation, excess demand, deflation.

During an inflation, commodity prices - especially gold and oil - are the first to go up, and we see a boom in the commodity-producing sectors (such as oil and mining) and real estate, and also in the financial sector. Investment banking, stock trading, private equity, lending, will experience good times; an excess supply of dollars leads to the phenomenon of 'hot money' - large amounts of dollars being passed from hand to hand and which must be spent, invested or lent.

Commodity prices will go up before consumer prices in an inflation, and the gold price will go up before other commodity prices. The gold price, out of the entire 'galaxy of prices' (as Jude Wanniski calls it) is the first to tell us how much 'liquid' - how many dollars - is out there. If the gold / dollar price stays stable, then the central bank is providing just the right amount of liquidity. Under a gold standard, the central bank keeps the dollar fixed to gold - that is, keeps the gold / dollar price stable.

In August 1971, Nixon took America - and the world - off the gold standard. We saw skyrocketing gold prices. The green bar measures the rapid rise of the gold / USD price, which peaked at around $USD850/oz in day trading (the grey-shaded columns indicates recessions):




That led to, as we could expect, high inflation - the worst global inflation in history. But monetary policy can turn the other way. Excess demand for the dollar can cause a sharp drop in the gold / dollar price. Here the red bar measures gold / USD price's fall, from one of the most severe deflationary episodes in US history - the early 1980s under Reagan:



Commodity and real estate prices collapsed, and commodity producers were wiped out. The financial sector, which had been lending cheap money to the Third World during the 1970s, also experienced a downturn. Because of the scarcity of liquid, short-term money market interest rates went into the double digits.

The second episode occurred in the late 1990s, in Bill Clinton's second term:



Again, commodity producers were hit hard - the oil price sank to $USD10 a barrel - and investors pulled money out of commodity producer stocks and shovelled it into risky dot-com companies.

The Bush 43 years - the 2000s - saw a remarkable rise in gold and commodity prices, with gold hitting (what was then) an all time high of around $USD1000 / oz. in trading. Then, in that fatal summer of 2008, the gold price fell - and fell - and fell. It dropped to nearly $USD700/oz.


As in the early 1980s, the financial sector was hard-hit.

Bernanke piled more liquidity into the financial system after 2008, and gold went up and up, peaking at nearly $USD1900/oz. in 2011. After 2012, Bernanke backed off on the quantitative easing experiment - which had not produced much in the way of growth - and the gold price has been trending downwards ever since, a descent which has only accelerated since Bernanke's departure. Gold has bottomed at around $USD1000/oz. a year ago - in November 2015 - and after a brief turn upwards, seems to be going downward again. The present close is $USD1181/oz. It should go lower over the coming months.



The gold price drops because of an excess demand for dollars - what causes that excess demand? In the early 1980s, Reagan cut the top rate of personal income tax from 70% to 50% and capital gains from 28% to 20%. This led to a huge demand for dollars. In the late 1990s, Bill Clinton's tax cuts on capital gains (back to 20%, where it had been at Reagan's first term) and on Roth-IRAs brought about that excess demand. Now, in 2016, investors are driving up the value of the dollar in anticipation of deregulation and huge - yuge! - tax cuts under Trump. The prospect of the Fed's raising interest rates this December also plays a part.

During a deflation, consumers - and consumer goods industries - benefit from the rising dollar; but, because there are not enough dollars to pay for all the goods being produced, a recession results more often than not. That was the case in 1981-82, 2001 and 2008-09. Hopefully, that won't come about this time.

At the moment, the markets seem to be taking the deflationary wobble in its stride. If we are to divide the Dow Jones by an ounce of gold, we see that the Dow hit its highest in the Obama years in November 2015, when it reached 16.69 ounces (not coincidentally, gold reached its lowest level in years - around $USD1000/oz. - in that same month). Since November 2015, the Dow has fallen in value. But after Trump's election, it is making up its losses.



It could go higher. During Bush 43's first term, the Dow hovered around 25 oz. The Trump recovery could see the Dow returning to that level. The future looks bright.

Saturday, November 26, 2016

Castro dead, Trump now a Neocon? Reaganite?


Remember, during the election, how we heard - over and over - that Trump admired 'strongmen' and 'authoritarian regimes'? That side of Trump pleased many on the Left, who regard many of today's authoritarian and dictatorial regimes (such as in Russia and Syria) as 'progressive'; likewise, it pleased many on the Far Right (e.g., the Paleocons, the Libertarians, many of those on the Alt-Right), who regard many of those same regimes as fellow rebels against the globalist New World Order.

Now, after Castro's death, we find President-elect Trump sounding like a Reaganite - or a neocon. Here's Trump on front page of the BBC website:




And here's neoconservative Never Trumper John Podhoretz on the front page of the doyen of neoconservative and Jewish journals, Commentary:



Here is Trump's statement on Castro in full. He sounds like your average free-market conservative, a lot like Ted Cruz or Marco Rubio - or Ronald Reagan:

“Today, the world marks the passing of a brutal dictator who oppressed his own people for nearly six decades,” Trump said in a statement released on the news of Castro’s death Saturday.
“Fidel Castro’s legacy is one of firing squads, theft, unimaginable suffering, poverty and the denial of fundamental human rights,” Trump said.

“While Cuba remains a totalitarian island, it is my hope that today marks a move away from the horrors endured for too long, and toward a future in which the wonderful Cuban people finally live in the freedom they so richly deserve,” Trump said.

“Though the tragedies, deaths and pain caused by Fidel Castro cannot be erased, our administration will do all it can to ensure the Cuban people can finally begin their journey toward prosperity and liberty,” Trump said. “I join the many Cuban Americans who supported me so greatly in the presidential campaign, including the Brigade 2506 Veterans Association that endorsed me, with the hope of one day soon seeing a free Cuba.”

Just as significant is this article from the official Trumpist newspaper of record, Breitbart.Com:



Who are those four dictators? Nicolás Maduro of Venezuela, Xi Jinping of China, and these two men:




Breitbart, the official organ of the Trump Republican Party, not being sufficiently reverential of Little Vladimir Putin and Ba'athist Bashar - this does not look good at all. Putinistas, Assadists and National-Trotskyites, read it and weep.

Thursday, November 17, 2016

I've lost respect for Styxhexenhammer666 - over Syria



I just lost my respect for Styxhexenhammer666.

He's evidently swallowed the Putinist and Assadist propaganda on Syria, hook, line and sinker - propaganda which has infected the Far Right, the Alt Right, and the Far Left, in Australia and abroad.

The truth of the matter is this. Ba'athist / Arab nationalist dictator, Hafez al-Assad, had ruled Syria, a backwards country, from 1970 to 2000. Assad showed himself to be a wily politician and one who possessed great political skill, as evinced by the fact that he survived in office for so long, just like other long-lived dictators Robert Mugabe and Fidel Castro. And like Castro and Mugabe, he was a butcher. During the 1976-1982 Syrian civil war against the Muslim Brotherhood, he massacred tens of thousands of his own people. After his death in 2000, power was handed to his son Bashar. In 2011, Syrians revolted against Bashar as part of the Arab Spring. As his counterpart Ghaddafi did in Libya, Bashar responded with massacres. Any liberal, secular and moderate Syrians - few as they were - were killed off, and the uprising became a civil war, with Islamists predominating.

Bashar is repeating history, and following his father's tactics, by reducing Syria's cities to rubble and massacring civilians (as Hafez did in Hama in 1982). Contra Styxhexenhammer666, Bashar caused the current 'refugee' crisis plaguing Europe. Had Bashar been deposed in 2011, or had he stood down, and had not Putin supported him to the hilt, there would be no refugee crisis.

Styxhexenhammer666 has fallen for the Bashar and Putin con. These two men, along with their Islamic supporters (i.e., the Mullahs in Iran, Hezbollah in Lebanon) and the many pro-Putin and pro-Assad Marxists such as our own Communist Party of Australia and John Pilger, claim to be rebels against a 'globalist elite', but in fact form part of that elite themselves. They are only interested in perpetuating their own power - even if that power is confined to their own little niche movement (and contemporary leftism is one such movement). In the case of the Syrian and Russian and Iranian elite, it comes down to money: they became rich under the patronage of their respective dictators, and they want to stay that way - hence their desire to stay in the saddle.

Bashar may end up remaining king of Syria, but he'll be a king of pile of rubble. He'll have lost all legitimacy as a ruler. Yes, the Ba'athist Bastard Brigade are tough blokes, all right - but no-one likes a bastard.

I can't be bothered with Styxhexenhammer666 any more. The same with the Daily Shoah at the RightStuff.Biz. Once I heard host Mike Enoch (a few episodes ago) declaring that Assad, in bombing the hapless civilians of Aleppo, was 'bombing ISIS', I switched off.

We on the Far Right, or Alt Right, or whatever, are a feeble-minded bunch whose knowledge of history doesn't extend further than 2001; as such, we are easily duped by Putinist and Assadist propaganda. We've been taken in.

Yockey examines, in Imperium, the subject of Culture Distortion, and how one Culture (e.g., the Jewish-Islamic-Semitic) may overlay, suppress and distort another (e.g., the Western). In Imperium, Yockey was concerned with the Jewish element of the Arabic-Semitic Culture most of all. But, were he alive today, he would be concerned with the Arabic: after all, Zionism is Jewish nationalism, Ba'athism is Arab nationalism, and the latter has begun to infect the West at the level of fringe politics at least. Yockey himself championed Arab nationalism and Nasserism in the 1950s, and by the 1970s, we on the Far Right went further still and made a fetish of Palestinian nationalism. As if the Palestinians - or any other Arab group - had any bearing on the white racial cause.


Saturday, November 12, 2016

Norpoth vindicated - or not? / Trump 2016, Truman 1948



Did Professor Helmut Norpoth predict Trump's victory on November the 8th?

When I first encountered Helmut Norpoth's primary model, I was impressed by it and its consistent track record of predicting the two-party vote in presidential elections (within a margin of error) which in turn determined, more often than not, the winner. He predicted that the Democrats would win 50.2% of the two-party vote in 2000: the party went on to win 50.3% - so this was a highly accurate call - but went on to lose the electoral college vote; in his own defence, Norpoth states that his model only makes the claim to predict the two-party vote, not the electoral college result, and so, in this instance, didn't really predict the winner.

After November the 8th, his model has garnered a great deal of attention because it predicted a Trump victory through the two-party vote. Norpoth swam against the tide this year, because his was one of only three models - the others being Allan Lichtman's and Alan Abramowitz's - to state that Trump would win. Norpoth deserves the acclaim for sticking his neck out and getting right. But there's a problem: Norpoth's model predicted that Trump would win 52.5% of the two-party vote, and while Trump was ahead in the popular vote on election night, he's been behind for several days now. Below we see the results so far from CNN:



So Trump has only won 49.7% of the two-party vote to date, but, like Bush 43 in 2000, won the electoral college (albeit to a greater degree than Bush). Norpoth's model did not predict this.

As of now, millions of votes haven't been counted, and it could be that Trump will pull ahead, thereby proving Norpoth right. This will take time, however, and so we shouldn't be showering Norpoth with plaudits just yet.

Trump's victory bears an uncanny resemblance to Truman's in 1948. Truman won 303 electoral college votes, Trump is projected to win 306; Truman won 28 states, Trump 30. Norpoth predicted Trump would win 52.5% of the two-party vote (and perhaps Trump will win something approaching that figure); Truman won 52.4%. In 1948 and 2016, a consensus of media and pollsters concluded that both Trump and Truman would lose. And, just before November the 8th 2016, Newsweek magazine even gave us a Chicago Daily Tribune moment, with a President-elect Clinton commemorative issue printed up before November the 8th:




These issues were recalled, and now fetch a high price on EBay.



Monday, November 7, 2016

President-elect Trump, and What Will Follow






Four years ago, on election eve 2012, I believed that Romney stood a chance of winning; had I been aware of Dr Helmut Norpoth's system - which predicted an easy Obama win in 2012 and retroactively has predicted the winner of every US presidential election of the past hundred years - I would have been disabused of the notion.

Norpoth's model cracks the code of US presidential elections. It relies on two premises. The first is that the candidate who wins the primaries - in particular, after 1952, the primary in the state of New Hampshire - goes on to win the election; the second is that an incumbent party in the White House can't win a third term unless it has won its second term in an electoral landslide (see the re-election of the Republicans and Democrats in 1988 and 1940 respectively - both wins were built on the back of huge victories in 1984 and 1936). In contrast, a re-election after a first term proves, for the most part, to be easy, so long as the incumbent candidate can again win the nomination in the New Hampshire primary without difficulty. In 2012, Obama coasted through the primaries (including the one in New Hampshire) and faced no opposition, and this in itself predicted an Obama victory. This rule - that whenever a president cruises through the second-term primaries and easily wins re-nomination from his party, he always wins - holds true for the elections  of 1916, 1936, 1940, 1944, 1948, 1956, 1964, 1972, 1984, 1996. If the candidate of the incumbent party has won the nomination after a loss or a narrow win in New Hampshire, he goes on to lose: see 1952, 1968, 1976, 1980, 1992, 2000. Norpoth uses mathematics to prove his point, but we can understand his model without it. All we need to know is his two premises, and from these, it followed that Obama would win in 2012 with no trouble.

What of 2016? After the New Hampshire and South Carolina primaries were held in February this year, Norpoth confidently predicted that Trump would win. South Carolina has become important in Norpoth's model since 1992; it forecasts the black vote and how well a candidate does in the South. During a 'change election' - that is, an election held after an incumbent has held office for two terms - a candidate can do badly in the New Hampshire primary and still go on to win the election, providing that he did well in the  South Carolina primary: see Clinton in 1992, Bush 43 in 2000 and Obama in 2008. (It should be noted that each of these three candidates swept the South; even Obama, a Democrat, managed to take North Carolina, Virginia and Florida). Which brings us to 2016. Trump won crushing victories in both New Hampshire and South Carolina, whereas Hilary won only in South Carolina. (Hilary's appeal to blacks led her to surpassing Sanders; the Jewish candidate from Vermont whose following was, in the main, white, couldn't break through to black voters in the South and elsewhere). This led Norpoth to predict that the Democrat two-party vote would fall to 47.5% (meaning that Trump should win with 52.5% - a performance comparable to Bush 43's in 2004).

So Trump, the primary winner, won the nomination: suppose he hadn't? Then, says Norpoth, the Republicans would have gone on to lose. The party which doesn't put its primary winner forward for the nomination always loses and in fact will suffer a crushing defeat. Norpoth posits that Republican losses would have been minimised had the party nominated the primary winners Roosevelt in 1912, Brumbaugh in 1916, France in 1932, Borah in 1936, Dewey in 1940, MacArthur in 1944, Warren in 1948 and Lodge in 1964; similarly, the Democrats would have minimised their losses had they nominated their primary winners McAdoo in 1924, Kefauver in 1952 and 1956, Johnson in 1968, Muskie in 1972 and Hart in 1984. As we can see, for the past thirty years, the Democrats and Republicans have always given the nomination to their primary winner; the party no longer will take the nomination from a primary winner and give it to a candidate who is comparatively unpopular. This year, the 'Never Trumpers' and 'Tru Conservatives' in the Republican Party wanted to engineer machinations at the last minute before the convention which would deprive Trump of the nomination, but fortunately for the party (from the point of view of Norpoth's model), those efforts didn't pan out.

Once the nominations were locked in - for both the Democrats and the Republicans - at the July 2016 conventions, then, Trump's path to victory was assured; nothing could change the course of events - not polls, gaffes, scandals, 'ground game', 'October surprises', and certainly not psychological warfare waged by operatives for the Democrat Party and the 'Never Trump' faction of the Republican Party. One of the blessed things about a Trump victory will be that the relentless spamming of the message boards and comments sections by Democrat Party 'Correct the Record' trolls will come to an end. We won't have to put up with them any more.

The 'concern trollers' - who have promulgated the line that 'Trump just can't win' - will disappear as well. These men spread their doom and gloom on Far Right and nationalist boards as part of an effort to suppress the Trump vote, for motives known only to themselves; but after November the 8th, they will vanish. (Or perhaps they'll remain and take a new line: that Trump won't abide by any of his commitments, that he'll stab the elect Trump movement in the back, and so forth).

We'll also see the anti-Trump pundits - the Maureen O'Dowds, the Charles Krauthammers, the George Wills, the William Kristols, the Jonah Goldbergs, the James Pethokoukises and the rest of that 'I don't like Hilary, but how could anyone vote for Trump' brigade - put in their place. (Many of these pundits who claim to be 'conservative' are in fact in wolves in sheep's clothing; their 'conservatism' has become subordinated to leftism and Culture-Marxism). And the patronising know-it-alls in the mainstream media, who condescend to 'give advice' to Trump on how to win, and auger that Trump will fail for not having followed their advice, will be shown to know very little after all. They couldn't accurately predict the results of an election, so, we may ask, what are we paying them for?

Finally, the Marxist Left will be thrown into disarray. At present, the hardcore and communist Left consists of two factions: those within the Democratic Party and those outside of it. The first of these has largely taken over the Democratic Party - and indeed, has authored its 2016 platform - and probably will consume it entirely after a Clinton defeat; the old, centrist-liberal party of Jimmy Carter and Bill Clinton will be converted into a thoroughly Marxist party with a Bernie Sanders or Elizabeth Warren as a figurehead. As for the Left outside of the Democratic Party, which has criticised Obama throughout his time in office, it will continue to fester and moulder and live a subterranean existence as usual; but it will be put out, to say the least, by a Trump victory. Presumably it will try and foment more Black Lives Matter race riots, and incite Hispanics and Muslims against Trump.

Given that Trump has enjoyed a strong working-class backing, and has made use of a populist rhetoric which borders on (at times) anti-capitalism and Marxism, a window opened for the Left early on; but it did not seize the opportunity. It could have jumped on board the Trump train and attempted to recruit his followers to Marxism: the really clever and far-sighted of the communist activists could have used the Trump phenomenon to their own advantage and formed an alliance - albeit an unorthodox and unconventional one. But the Far Left in America has shown itself to be constitutionally unable to pull off such a tricky manoeuvre. For one thing, it hates the white, working-class voter; secondly, it has aligned itself with the blacks and Hispanics (and now, in 2016, Muslims) against the whites and has made race war its goal. The Marxist Left in America has always striven to recruit blacks and aggravate racial tensions, and has always held to the idea that race war helps bring about class war, but, over the decades, the Marxist and socialist doctrines have become subordinated to what is a kind of black supremacism; American Marxists have become tools of black, and now Hispanic, nationalism - and  of Islamism as well. This explains why American communists were unable to think pragmatically - or 'dialectically', as Lenin would put it - in relation to Trump.

It could be that Clinton will win and Norpoth's model will be proven wrong. But a even far simpler model than Norpoth's shows that a Clinton victory is unlikely. Trump is polling well in Ohio, and Ohio - being middle America, part of what Colin Woodard in American Nations (2011) calls the 'Midlands' - has gone with the winner for every election since 1912, with two exceptions. The first is 1944, when Dewey beat Roosevelt in Ohio by a mere 11,500 votes; the second is 1960, a controversial election in which, Norpoth argues, it was Nixon and not Kennedy who really won the popular vote. In both instances, Republican candidates won Ohio but lost the election. But Ohio has gotten it right 24 out of 26 times - not a bad track record. Because the much-vaunted opinion polls show Trump consistently ahead in Ohio, it's reasonable to believe - given the history of the past hundred years - that he'll go on to win the election.

Monday, August 15, 2016

The Australian federal election of 2016 and the National-Trotskyites



I.

We saw mixed results for the Australian Far Right - and I use that term loosely - in the federal election: an amazing (and entirely unexpected) result for the populists Pauline Hanson and Derryn Hinch (both of whom are, like Donald Trump, TV celebrities) and comparatively poor results for the remainder.

Firstly, the figures for the mainstream parties. According to the Australian Electoral Commission's first preference by party count, the (mainstream center Left) Labor Party won 4.7 million votes, or 34.73%, and the (mainstream center Right) Liberal-National coalition, 6.87 million votes, or 42.04%; the Greens, an environmentalist party which aspires to be Australia's leading third party and these days seems to have been largely infiltrated by Marxists, won 1.38 million votes, or 10.23%. (Another alternative party, and one which I voted for, the Animal Justice Party, won over 94,000 votes or 0.70%).

How did the Far Right do? One Nation garnered over 175,000 votes, or 1.29%, Katter's Australian Party over 72,000 or 0.54%. The pro-Zionist, evangelical party Rise Up Australia, over 68,000 or 0.51% and the other pro-Zionist party, Australian Liberty Alliance, over 25,000 or 0.19%. Australia First Party NSW (Incorporated) won over 6800 votes, or 0.05%, the Citizens Electoral Council, a Larouchean outfit, over 5000, or 0.04%. Palmer United did very badly, only getting 315 votes, or 0.00%. Derryn Hinch's Justice Party lagged behind Australian Liberty Alliance, winning over 16,000 votes or 0.12% (but they did score a Senate seat). To rank these parties by first preference vote:

  1. Pauline Hanson's One Nation
  2. Katter's Australian Party
  3. Rise Up Australia
  4. Australian Liberty Alliance
  5. Derryn Hinch's Justice Party
  6. Australia First Party NSW (Incorporated)
  7. Citizens Electoral Council
  8. Palmer United

Most Australian nationalists (including myself) regard Pauline Hanson as a charlatan and an opportunist, but Pauline Hanson's One Nation was, for this election, what the Australian people wanted from the Far Right. The party won over 13% of the vote in the New South Wales seat of Paterson and 15-20% in four Queensland seats, and four seats in the Senate. Not bad for a party which was written off twenty years ago.

It should be noted that the above parties don't represent the Australian Far Right in its entirety. At the moment, there are two tendencies in the Far Right here and elsewhere in the West: the electoralists and the activists. The former believe in running in elections; the latter, 'activism' along the lines of the French nationalist group, Génération Identitaire - that is, putting stickers on lampposts, climbing up the side of the buildings, and hosting sit-ins, lie-ins and die-ins.

There's value in 'activism', but, as that nationalist scold from Liverpool, Joe Owens, points out, marches don't change anything - after all, a million marchers didn't stop the Iraq invasion in 2003. As for electoralism, none of the above 'Far Right' parties on offer seem to get to the essence of what Australian nationalists - particularly the youth - are interested in, which is (to use one of Yockey's terms) an Idea: that Idea being a compound of white nationalism and neo-Nazism, what Yockey would call (after Spengler and the German Idealist school of philosophy) the Resurgence of Authority in the Age of Absolute Politics. When I meet nationalist youth, that's all they want to talk about. Granted, a gap exists between what they want and what the Australian electorate wants - at this point, an openly 'Hitlerist' party would get even less votes than Clive Palmer's - but, in the end, that hardly matters. The ultimate success (or failure) of nationalist politics will depend upon geopolitical - and what Yockey calls spiritual - realities.

To get some understanding of this, let's look at Europe nearly a hundred years ago, in the year 1923 - the year of Hitler's Munich beer hall putsch. Europe then was divided up between four great powers: Germany, France, Italy and England, with France and England being the stronger of the four. Flash forward to 1933, and all this had changed. In the words of Yockey (from Enemy of Europe, 1953):

During the 1930’s, French mastery over Europe dwindled away like a morning mist. There was no great crisis at that time, no epochal war. The very fact of the European Revolution of 1933 [Hitler's ascent to power] dissolved French hegemony without a struggle, without a trace of hostilities. France’s position was due solely to material factors, to simple control of the apparatus of power. The inner qualities of the régime that had this power at its disposal were not equal to asserting and preserving it. This régime was the bearer of no World-Hypothesis, no Idea, no Ethic. Its dynamism a crude desire for mastery: it utterly lacked the feeling of a superpersonal Mission, lacked a world-outlook, a European Hypothesis. When it was confronted with the European Revolution of 1933, its power simply evaporated. Bayonets can give one neither a good conscience nor the Inner Imperative to rule. The vassals defected, and France suddenly found itself in the position of a vassal vis-à-vis England. The choice of its lord and master was the last formal act testifying to the political existence of France as a nation.

By 1943, ten years later, Germany - now the sole power on the Continent - and the US were locked in a deadly struggle for control; Italy, France and England had ceased to exist as independent political units. In 1953, we see Europe - and Germany - partitioned between the US and Russia. Forty years later, the USSR had ceased to exist and Russia had departed from Europe. Now, in 2016, Russia seeks to exert diplomatic influence and is using the time-honoured Soviet method - subversion - to do so. Generally, though, the US rules the roost in Europe, and the great political problem of our age is: how to get the US off Europe's - and Germany's - back, how to bring about the 'Resurgence of Authority'?

Elections hardly come into this at all, but this isn't to say that the Trump candidacy for president isn't important: it is. But the Trump candidacy only bears on the internal political arrangements of the US. For the past seven and a half years, the US has been ruled by a cabal of Marxists in the Obama administration, the media and the SJW (Social Justice Warrior) movement; this troika will be swept out of power if Trump wins. The Left knows this, and we can see - as the likelihood of Trump winning increases - them beginning to panic. But the US will remain the US, just as China - after the sudden purge of the ultra-leftist Gang of Four faction of the communist leadership party in 1976 - remained China. The Trump presidency - which will lead to the dramatic downfall of the Obama Left - won't affect political realities. Perhaps a US 'made great again' will prove to be stronger; perhaps it will beat back its enemies (Russia, China, the burgeoning threat of Islam); but a Trump administration won't free Europe from its bondage and servitude of the past 75 years.

But one interesting implication of a Trump electoral win is that it will free up Europe - and the West - to name the Muslim immigrant as the 'Inner Enemy' (to use Yockey's and Carl Schmitt's term); Trump has no time for 'political correctness', and he recognises Islam as the Enemy. Measures - political measures - may follow. As to what those measures will be, they can vary. As Yockey writes (again in Enemy-):

This organic right to determine the inner enemy is not always exercised in the same manner. It may be open: arrest, sudden attack, shooting down at home, butchery in the streets. It may be concealed: drawing up of punitive laws general in their terms but applying in fact only to one group. It may be purely formless, but nonetheless real: the ruler may attack verbally the individual or group in question. Such a declaration may be used only to intimidate, or it may be a method of bringing about assassination. It may be economic pressure— such a tactic is naturally the favorite of Liberals. A “blacklist” or boycott may destroy the group or individual.

In these circumstances, 'constitutional rights' go out the window:

It goes without saying that the exercise of such a right has no connection whatever with any written “constitution” which purports verbally to distribute the public power in a political unit. Such a “constitution” may forbid such a declaration of inner enemy, but units with such constitutions have never hesitated in need, and have often invoked such procedure independently of need. Thus the transatlantic part of the anti-Europe coalition in the Second World War carried out, quite independently of necessity, since there was no real inner enemy as a matter of fact, extensive inner persecutions directed against groups [German, Japanese and Italian-American] and strata of its population. It does not affect the political nature of this activity that it was done by culture-distorting elements [i.e., the Jews who ran the Roosevelt administration], for the organic laws set out here describe all political units whatever, even if they fall into the hands of political and cultural outsiders.

The idea that Trump may do any of the above has brought dismay to the Left: the Far Left - in particular, the Marxists - regard Muslim immigrants as 'agents of revolutionary change'; they want to use them as foot soldiers to destroy the West. What if those foot soldiers are locked up, expelled or prevented from entering Western countries?

No doubt about it, the Trump presidency will be seismic, earth-shattering. But Europe - and Australia - are still beholden to the US; they will imitate Trump if and only if Trump wins.

II.

Reading Yockey, we see that Islam, rightly understood, is 'political' in the sense meant by Yockey and Schmitt: Islam names the enemy, it abides by the friend / enemy distinction. We also see that Islam forms an 'Internationale' - a political entity that transcends borders. I argue that the 'Hitlerist' movement today in 2016 is an 'Internationale' and is 'political'.

The implication of this is that 'Hitlerism', like Islam (and communism in the old days) in fact forms a political organism, a state. It bears this distinguishing characteristic - one which differentiates it from the 'Far Right' parties in Australia - even though its representatives may be an unprepossessing bunch. As such, it is subject to all those laws expounded by Yockey in Imperium - 'The Laws of Totality and Sovereignty', 'The Law of Constancy of Inter-Organismic Power' and the rest.

One of Yockey's insights in that book was that a political organism can make a bid to expand its power, fall flat on its face and see an increment of power transferred to its enemies, the other political organisms. George W. Bush's disastrous attempt to expand US power in the Middle East by invading Afghanistan and Iraq serves as one example: the US went into a sharp decline while its enemies - Russia, China, Iran, Syria, Venezuela, the Palestinians - strengthened.

But a loss of power and prestige need not always be so dramatic: sometimes a political organism can lose power and see its strength ebb away without war. Something - or someone - within the organism may distort it, turn it away from its natural direction, pervert it from its aim. This frequently happens when a group or groups within the organism make it serve the purposes of other states.

This is something that has been happening on the Far Right - here in Australia and elsewhere in the West - for the past 15 or so years. Simply put, the energies of the Far Right have been diverted away from the advancing of its political position and towards improving that of Russia, Iran, Syria and the Palestinians.

I should state that I've been delighted by the US decline: as the US weakens, we 'Hitlerists' grow stronger. But at the same time, the other enemies of America are benefiting during its decline, and to my mind a big difference exists between wanting to see your own position strengthen at the expense of America and working to improve that of America's enemies. The latter gives an instance of what Yockey called 'distortion'.

Earlier I drew a distinction between 'Hitlerism' and the Far Right, especially as it exists here in Australia. Really, the two make up a continuum. The difference is that 'Hitlerism' forms a pole, or 'political center' (to borrow a term from the Marxist Hal Draper) around which the rest of the Far Right more or less revolves. Some tendencies, such as white nationalism, stand close to the pole; others - such as Katter's Australian Party and One Nation - stand far, far away. But all are connected. If the Far Right in general suffers from an outflow of power to a rival political unit, so does its 'Hitlerian' constituent. Which is why even the 'Hitlerists' ought to be concerned by the transfer, or leakage, of power from the Far Right to the Syrians, Russians, Iranians and the other foes of the 'West' and 'NATO imperialism'.

III.

The Far Left has been about as equally as corrupted by Putin and the others, if not more so, and many have remarked on the extent to which the Far Left rhetoric - especially on Syria and the Ukraine - mimics that of the Far Right. One can attribute it to Russia's clever strategy of betting on each horse - slinging bagfuls of cash to both the Far Right and Left in equal measure - but I think that it goes further than that. A Trotskyite tendency exists on the Far Right, and has for some time. The Trotskyites among us seem to have taken one idea from Trotsky in particular - that of 'permanent revolution' - and applied it within a nationalist context; I call them the National-Trotskyites.

What is Trotsky's theory of permanent revolution? It posits that the entire world - or at least Europe and its colonies - behave according to a Marxist textbook; the world has progressed, politically, to the point where the capitalist order breaks down under the weight of its own contradictions and is replaced by the socialist one; workers everywhere are ready to take up arms against their masters, and stand right at the tipping point of revolution. The fact that some countries are not as developed economically as others doesn't matter; neither do the contradictions inside those countries other than the socialist / capitalist  - e.g., contradictions between different religious belief systems, cultural practices, etc.

From this doctrine, the Trotskyites deduce that the only 'revolutions' that can occur in a country are communist ones - or they are not 'revolutions' at all and so are unworthy of notice. An adherent of the theory of permanent revolution, then, will see liberal and bourgeois revolutions - such as the Arab Spring of 2011 and the overthrow of Yanukovych in Ukraine in 2014 - as being either communist (or, in Trotsky-speak, 'socialist') in character or not revolutions at all. (Trotskyites don't believe that a historical progression from liberal democracy to 'socialism' exists. Instead, they hold that a true communist will want to skip any liberal and bourgeois reforms and go straight to revolution: what is desired is a jump from point A to point C and a skipping of point B in between).

Another corollary of the theory is that Trotskyites must lend 'military, but not political' support to regimes which are anti-Western, in particular to the regimes which came to power through revolutions and coups - the Ayatollahs in Iran, Saddam Hussein in Iraq, the Assads in Syria, Ghaddafi in Libya and the rest. (Strongmen such as Milosevic in Serbia and Putin in Russia are acceptable, even though they came to office through ostensibly legal and constitutional means, because they are sufficiently anti-NATO, anti-Western, anti-imperialist). Trotskyites support these states, and may even proclaim them to be  'revolutionary' (despite the fact that the regimes may - and this is especially true in the case of Iran - violently suppress their communist parties). This habit of the Trotskyites goes all the way back to the 1930s, when Fascist Italy invaded Ethiopia: the regime of the emperor Haile Selassie was upheld by Trotsky as 'anti-imperialist', simply because it was engaged in a war against the White Man. We could view the Assads, Ghaddafis, Putins, Milosevics, Husseins as the Haile Selassies of their time. The Trotskyite support for these regimes relates back to the fact that Trotskyites don't pay much attention to the internal contradictions which appear in a revolutionary situation: it is sufficient that a Milosevic or Hussein or Putin regime takes a stand against the NWO (New World Order), because, from the Trotskyite point of view, the stance alone of these countries makes them 'socialist', 'anti-imperialist' and therefore not worthy of further investigation.

This relates back to the Russian revolution of 1917, which saw the explosion of a number of pent-up tensions - between the nobility and the peasantry, capitalism and feudalism, Orthodox religion and irreligiosity, progress and backwardness, autocracy and democracy; in their studies of the revolution, the Trotskyites only regard the main contradiction - between capitalist and socialist - as decisive.

All this is relevant to we nationalists because Trotsky's doctrine of permanent revolutionism has been transposed and applied to the Far Right. To look at the case of America alone: David Duke, Paul Craig Roberts, Pat Buchanan, et al., all take the pro-Putin, pro-Assad, pro-Iranian Ayatollah line on the grounds that these men are all revolutionaries against the NATO-imperialist One World Global New Order - Duginite rebels against the White West. Dugin's peculiar brand of Russian nationalism is predicated, not on a love of Russia, but on a hatred of the West and the White Man; he shares the illusion - along with the Left - that the US today is run by and for WASPs, racialists and white racial supremacists who are the savage oppressors of blacks and other non-whites. (The Left, in the 2000s, used to refer to George W. Bush and the Republicans as 'white nationalist'). It's odd that David Duke should share a platform with Dugin. But Duke long ago ceased being a Southern nationalist and has since become an Iranian nationalist.

IV.

All this raises an interesting question: what would a National-Trotsky political party look like?
In order to answer that, we need to look at Trotskyite theory and practice of politics and the party.

The first distinguishing characteristic of a Trotskyite political party is intense factionalism. This is a residue of Trotsky's own political career. At the turn of the 20th century, the Russian Marxists were more of a movement than a party - much like Occupy Wall Street or the anti-globalisation movement of the late 1990s - and in the Russian communist party itself, lines between party member and non-party member, and member of one faction and another, were fluid. Contrary to myth, the Bolsheviks never split from the Mensheviks in 1912 and continued to work with them - and their other rivals, the Social Revolutionaries - even after their victory in the Russian Civil War. Trotsky himself, a longtime activist in the Russian Marxist movement, never became a Bolshevik - much less a 'Leninist' - until 1917. This multi-faceted and confused character of Russian communism during and after the 1917 revolution explains, in part, why Trotsky engaged in non-stop factional manoeuvring, leap-frogging from one faction to the other, forming and in turn dissolving cliques and alliances. In his intrigues, he behaved much like a character from Game of Thrones, and his preference was to work through the men at the top of such and such a faction or group within the party - coming to mafia-like deals and arrangements between party bosses, as it were. He went directly over the heads of the masses - i.e., the Russian and Soviet working-classes - and even the party rank and file; he was much more inclined to deal 'man to man' with other leaders.

He retained this 'factionalist' view of politics throughout the remainder of his life. Even after his expulsion from the Soviet Union, he viewed his Trotskyite splinter group as merely a faction of the Soviet communist party (albeit one standing outside the Third International), nothing more. By the mid-1930s, after his failure to reconcile with Stalin and the Soviet party, he instructed his French followers to dissolve their organisations and reconstitute themselves as a faction inside the French Socialist Party (the SFIO) - this was his famous 'entryist' period - and win the bourgeois socialists there over to Trotsky's version of communism. (Some time afterwards, the Trotskyites took to infiltrating the mainline pro-Soviet communist parties as well).

Perhaps we should call the 'factionalist' tendency of Trotsky and Trotskyites 'movement-ism'. They saw themselves as one little sliver belonging to a wide-ranging Marxist and socialist movement, a movement without clear boundaries and with constant revision in its internal arrangements.

Today, plenty of movement exists in this movement. Trotskyite organisations form, dissolve or split; they gobble one another up in 'unity mergers' (Trotskyites call this process 'regroupment') and form new organisations. They seek to expand by poaching - that is, borrowing or stealing - 'cadre' members (that is, activists who actually bother to do any work) from one another's organisations.

The Trotskyites have come under criticism from the Left for all this. The conventional Marxist view is that a Marxist Leninist should ideally be a mass movement and one which boasts large numbers of working class members; as well as this, the Marxist Leninist party should be a party of what Lenin calls a 'party of the new type', namely one organised around Marxist Leninism as a central principle. According to this Marxist critique, Trotsky, who was there at the birth of Leninism, never really was a true Leninist. (As to what 'Leninism'  was: in my view, it was whatever Lenin said or did at the time). Trotsky never truly appreciated Lenin's precepts, and he treated the communist party as being, in essence, the same in its factional structure as any social democratic party (such as our Australian Labor Party, which is highly factionalised).

The second distinguishing characteristic of a Trotskyite party is (and this is related) lack of party-building. We may define party-building as the expansion of the party through enrolling more and more members (particularly working-class ones) and indoctrinating and educating them. Trotsky saw not the need for it. His doctrines (including the doctrine of permanent revolution) entailed that the working classes everywhere were fermenting and at the point of revolt against their capitalist masters; no need to work on enrolling them - they would join the Marxist-Leninist movement of their accord. Trotsky seemed to base this doctrine on his own experiences in the quasi-anarchic Soviets. A critical Marxist commentator, Joseph Green, writes:

Trotsky seemed to have felt that his views about organization were verified by the Russian revolution of 1905 and, in particular, by the emergence of the Soviets. Neither the Bolsheviks nor the Mensheviks nor any other party had foreseen the Soviets, which could thus be regarded as a creation of the self-activity of the masses. Moreover, no single party came to the head of the Soviets, but instead the various factions and parties cooperated. Trotsky held that, indeed, Soviet decisions were simply obvious and beyond party. As he wrote: "From the hour it came into being until the hour it perished, the [1905 St. Petersburg] Soviet stood under the mighty, elemental pressure of the revolution, which most unceremoniously forestalled the work of political consciousness. " And, he said, "Its 'tactics' were obvious. The methods of struggle did not have to be discussed; there was hardly any time to formulate them." Moreover, Trotsky himself played a prominent role in the St. Petersburg Soviet, which, in his view, made him essentially the leader of the revolution and made his personal activity far more important than the influence of mere party organizations on the revolutionary movement...

Trotsky was influenced in his anti-organizational views by the stand of a number of socialist leaders in Germany, Austria and Poland. His view of party organization was particularly close to that of Rosa Luxemburg. Luxemburg stressed the role of the mass strike and revolutionary mass action in opposition to the growing conservatism of much of the German socialist leadership. She was no doubt right in this. But she saw the growing conservatism as the inevitable result of party organization, thus denigrating party organization rather than seeking to build up truly revolutionary organization. Moreover she thought that the conservative party leaders would be forced, at the moment of crisis, to go along with the revolution by the spontaneous mass upsurge. This too denigrated the need to build up revolutionary organization. And her views on organization were widespread in the left-wing of the German socialist movement.

This view of the party was reflected in the way the Social-Democracy of the Kingdom of Poland and Lithuania (SDKPL), in which Luxemburg did much of her work, was organized. The leadership of the SDKPL was informal; the leaders weren't too concerned about organizational matters; and they weren't bound by holding definite posts...

The upshot of this is that the Trotskyite parties are never that well organised - at least not in comparison to mainstream political parties such as, say, the Labor or Liberal parties (or even Pauline Hanson's One Nation). Nor do they pay much attention to the crucial task of steering a Marxist-Leninist party through a doldrum period - when the 'objective conditions' are not ripe for 'socialist revolution' (since 1989-1991, the entire Marxist-Leninist movement has been going through one long doldrum period). Because revolution is just around the corner, party-building and organisation in the face of adversity are not required.

Finally, we come to the third distinguishing characteristic: internal authoritarianism. Trotsky and the Trotskyite leaders after him behaved like dictators within their organisations; as Joseph Green puts it euphemistically, most Trotskyite parties have a 'harsh inner life'. Trotsky treated the party as if it were an army and he the general. In an army, poorly-performing officers are sacked and replaced, poorly-performing units are broken up and incorporated into new ones, disobedient soldiers are disciplined and court-martialled. Substitute a) officers for cadre members, b) units for branches and c) soldiers for rank and file members, and you get an idea of the inner life of a typical Trotskyite organisation. (On the subject of discipline, it should be noted that in one of Britain's most famous and powerful Trotskyite outfits, Gerry Healy's Revolutionary Workers Party, badly-behaved members were punished by being beaten). Organisation in a Trotskyite party tends to be loose at the bottom and tight at the top. Trotsky's experience in the St Petersburg Soviet led to the view that he, as a socialist leader, was in charge of what was little more than a rabble, a mob; he saw it as an army blessed with a never-ending stream of new recruits. Military-like discipline, then, seemed to him to be more than appropriate. As for the charge of dictatorialness, well, Trotsky admired dictators and strongmen such as Robespierre and Cromwell, and saw himself as a strongman.

In conclusion, we can say that Trotsky's a) factionalism, b) lack of party-building and c) authoritarianism set the precedent for all the Trotskyite organisations came afterwards and are what gives Trotskyism its peculiar character. Trotskyite parties strike many outsiders as being small, clique-ish and narrow organisations with little mass appeal,  run by bullying and dictatorial leaders who control almost every aspect of the membership's lives. In other words, they are cults. They tend not to do well at elections - in the 2016 federal election, the Socialist Equality Party won over 1600 first party preference votes, or 0.01%, Socialist Alliance over 3600 votes, or 0.03% - and get less working-class votes than the Far Right populist parties.

The Trotskyite way of doing things tends to be duplicated across the Left: Maoist cults resemble the Trotskyite, and I'm sure that, in the late 19th century - in the age of Marx and the Second International - there were more than a few proto-Trotskys running the equivalent of today's Trotskyite sects (a researcher could unearth a few).

Socialist organisations turn into cults and sects a) when they lose contact with the political mainstream (and the working-classes) and b) when they take up a position of ultra-radicalism. What is ultra-radicalism? The Trotskyites (and their cousins, the Maoists) follow Marx but disagree with other Marxists on the question of timing: capitalism, in the Trotskyite point of view, is 'decaying', in its 'death throes', and we are about to see a violent and sudden transition from capitalism to socialism. 'Intermediate trends' - such as an agrarian peasant revolt, a liberal and bourgeois revolution against a dictatorial regime - on the road towards socialism can be discounted. We see this Trotskyite tendency at play in the left-wing debates over the Bernie Sanders campaign. A conventional Marxist would regard Sanders as a step in the right direction, as progress - the fact that an open socialist got that far in the Democrat primaries is unprecedented. But the left-Trotskyites chide Sanders' followers on the US Left for having 'reformist illusions'. (Generally, left-Trotskyites are sectarian, right-Trotskyites are entryist. In the US, the latter group seems, after the demise of the Sanders campaign, bent on infiltrating the Greens and getting behind the candidacy of Jill Stein). No in-between exists for the ultra-radical of the Trotskyite or Maoist type. Indeed, right before his death, Trotsky made apocalyptic pronouncements to the effect that WWII would terminate in the triumph of either global communism or global fascism.

Communism has always possessed a cultish tincture: one could make the argument that the Soviet and Chinese communist parties were, at the time of the 1930s Stalinist purges and the 1960s Cultural Revolution respectively, nothing more than cults. The question is whether Trotsky-type cult organisations and parties can't appear in the Far Right milieu as well as the Far Left. My answer is yes. If the Stephen Cohens, Israel Shamirs, Pat Buchanans, William Engdahls and Gearóid Ó Colmáins were to form their own 'anti-imperialist, anti-NATO, anti-Zionist' parties, I'm sure that these would resemble Socialist Alliance, Socialist Alternative, SEP (Socialist Equality Party)...

One other point of concordance between Trotsky and the National-Trotskyites is that both take a dim view of struggles for national self-determination. Trotsky inclined towards USSR / EU type supra-national, federal structures and called for a 'United States of Europe'. He only felt sympathy towards calls for national self-determination only in the context of a global revolutionary and communist struggle; bourgeois and liberal (that is, non-communist) struggles were to be ignored or regarded, in the words of Joseph Green, as being nothing more than a 'counter-revolutionary plot'. Added to this, Trotsky seemed to think that countries such as Russia and China which had freed themselves from the yoke of colonialism (i.e., had achieved independence from the White Man) were incapable of oppressing others and practicing their own imperialism. It's Trotskyite doctrines such as these which explain the hostility of many of today's Trotskyites towards Ukraine's attempts to emancipate itself from Russia. And the non-Trotskyite Left - and the National-Trotskyites - here follow Trotsky. Putin's Russia has freed itself from NWO Zionist, Masonic and Fascist imperialism, so by definition it can't be an oppressor of smaller countries within its orbit (or, for that matter, separatist nations within Russia); the Ukrainian revolution in the Maidan was not an expression of genuine nationalist feeling, but part of a counter-revolutionary plot. If Ukraine were really revolutionary, it would join hands with Putin and incorporate itself into Putin's anti-imperialist Eurasian Economic Union...

As stated before, Trotskyism believes in 'skipping over the stages' to revolution: any sort of 'reformism' or 'gradualism' is denounced, as it's important to proceed with revolution right now. In essence, it's a question of timing. We are to jump from one stage (the capitalist) to another (the socialist); Trotskyites don't concede that anything that can appear between these two stages is of political significance. Which is why they tend to reject bourgeois (non-communist) struggles for self-determination: they don't fit into Trotsky's scheme. Such struggles can even be counter-revolutionary.

But non-communist revolts - such as we saw in Syria, Egypt, Tunisia and Libya in 2011 - are lumped in the same category. Some Trotskyites insist that these were 'socialist' and 'revolutionary', i.e., communist; others view them as either being a non-event or the work of the CIA, Mossad, Soros and the global NATO / NWO imperialists - part of a counter-revolutionary plot, in other words. In the view of these suspicious and conspiratorial-minded Trotskyites, the Arab masses protesting were protesting against Baathist and Arab nationalist regimes which were already sufficiently anti-imperialist and anti-NWO - proof, then, of the Arab Spring's reactionary quality.

V.

As we have seen, the lines between the Far Right and Far Left are becomingly increasingly blurred. The Far Right will support the Putins, Assads, Ayatollahs, Milosevics, Husseins and the rest regardless of the fact that these men have amassed extraordinary wealth for themselves (at the expense of their people); this is because the Far Right traditionally doesn't ascribe much importance as to the class character (capitalist or non-capitalist) of the regimes it supports. But, surprisingly enough, the Far Left doesn't seem to either: it's here that the Trotskyite doctrine - of ignoring the 'internal contradictions' of a regime, i.e., the extent to which is socialist and progressive - comes into play. Many Trotskyites supported the Iranian revolution of 1979 because of the revolution's 'progressive' (i.e., anti-Western, anti-imperialist) character: it ignored the internal contradictions. The fact that the Ayatollahs were against progressivism - on women's rights, religion, and the rest - didn't bother them; neither did the fact that, after the revolution, the Iranian theocrats murdered tens of thousands of people, among them former communist allies. (Healy's WRP, which had close contacts with the Iranian Left, was complicit in the deaths of these communists: allegedly it passed on information and identified them to the mullahs). To use Marxist speak, multiple contradictions were in evidence during the 1979 revolution, but the Trotskyites regarded the anti-imperialist versus imperialist one as being decisive, the one that overrode the rest. When it comes to Putin, Assad, et al., our National-Trotskyites more or less follow the same pattern.

Even some on the Left recognise this. The Australian communist Michael Karadjis writes, in a post on the MarxMail list, 10/8/2016:

The contrast of this reactionary "left" has-been mob is with the young people of the Arab world, who took to the streets to face bullets and tanks in 2011, and still fight on, despite the immeasurable terror launched against them by the near-genocidal counterrevolution that has the full support of Ali, Fisk, Cockburn, Hersh, Galloway, Anderson (the douche bag's name), alongside their close co-thinkers Trump, Cruz, David Duke, Le Pen, Boris Johnston, UKIP, Golden Dawn and all the rest of that far-right pro-Putin European party.

It is the youth of the Arab world that inspire the support of many of us on the western left. Strangely, it is those who kill them with tanks, barrel bombs, cluster bombs, ballistic missiles, starvation sieges and medieval tortures that inspire others on the western left.

A left-wing homosexual blogger writes:

Lets not forget he [Putin] also has unsavoury cheerleaders in the West too, like the BNP’s Nick Griffin, Front National’s Marine Le Pen and basically EVERY other neo-Nazi leader in Europe. You’d think, for the scores of gormless communists who idolise Assad these nauseating bedfellows would be a big wake-up call! But nooo. I’m also SO DONE with these lousy socialists defending Russia’s intervention. They’re idiots. If they had any sense they’d realise Russia is not ‘fighting terrorism’ but actually dropping deadly incendiary bombs on civilians. Why is there no leftist outrage about this? When America destroys a hospital, the world is livid, and rightly so. But when Russia does it, idiot left-wingers (who have the CHEEK to call themselves ‘internationalists’) shrug their shoulders and dismiss it as collateral damage! It makes me so mad. I just wish we could kill off this cringey love affair with Putin’s Russia full-stop. ‘He challenges American dominance!’, I hear the fascist apologist bleat. Fuck off. Who cares about his baseless ‘anti-imperialist’ credentials when he’s perpetuating a genocidal conflict in Syria. And back home in Mother Russia, Putin is destroying the free media, killing journalists and democracy activists, pouring cash into breakaway military juntas in East Ukraine, repressing Chechen nationalists and colluding with your ACTUAL Nazis in the persecution of LGBTQ Russians. If ‘the left’ had any sense or principles, they wouldn’t touch him with a 6ft bargepole. But they do. Hence, they’re idiots.

The question I ask is: what do we on the Far Right get out of the deal? Does National-Trotskyism increase our political power? Do we get any benefits out of it whatsoever?

We remember those thrilling days when Tehran hosted its Holocaust Revisionist conference in 2006: for the first time a state - a non-white one, but a state nonetheless - lent support to Holocaust Revisionism. This was of incalculable benefit to neo-Nazis, white nationalists and Revisionists around the world. (But alas, Mark Weber, the semi-Revisionist, informed the Iranian intelligentsia at a Tehran Revisionist conference six years later that the mass extermination of the Jews by the Nazis during WWII did indeed happen, only not the way that the history books describe it (this was the watered-down Revisionism of David Irving). After that, the Iranian leadership went back on their Holocaust denial). Iran in 2006 stands as an example of one of the few 'anti-imperialist, anti-Western, anti-Zionist, anti-NATO, anti-globalist' states which have done anything for us. Nowadays, the traffic all goes one way: German nationalist organisations such as PEGIDA and AfD support Putin and get nothing in return. What would Hitler have said? Indeed, what would any German nationalist leader of the past said...

At any rate, the future looks bright in Australia for we white nationalists, neo-Nazis, racial nationalists or whatever it is you want to call us: to my mind, the wins of Hanson and Hinch - and even the Zio anti-Islamic parties - represent a step in the right direction. As stated before, many of the Trotskyites and the other ultra-radicals have taken umbrage with the Sanders campaign and accused the Sanders camp of nourishing 'reformist illusions', of being 'gradualist' and the like, whereas more optimistic and less sectarian Marxists regard Sanders' success as a positive sign. I am of the same disposition as the gradualist Marxists when it comes to Hanson, Hinch and even the Australian Liberty Alliance: the fact that Australians voted for these parties in such numbers, and even gave two of these parties seats in the Senate, represents, to me, real progress.


Friday, May 27, 2016

The Worst Enemy of 'National Socialism'



I.

Most nationalists don't like the word 'neo-Nazi': they prefer the term 'National Socialist'. I myself refuse to refer to the post-war sympathisers and revivalists of Hitler as 'National Socialist' because that would imply that they are the one and same with the German National Socialists of the NSDAP. I believe that a continuity of sorts exists but not an identity. The term 'post-Nazi' manages to encapsulate the post-war Hitler revival movement best, but I regard it as a little specious. Better to stick with 'neo-Nazi'.

 It's true that this pejorative term is used by the enemy - just like its cousins 'racist', 'sexist', 'white supremacist' and the like - but by embracing the term we neuter it. Besides which, you can use it to get right down to brass tacks when discussing politics with someone. 'My political beliefs are neo-Nazi': such a statement cuts right to the essence of things and leaves very little by way of doubt in the mind of your interlocutor as to what your actual beliefs are. It saves time.

 In order to explain what neo-Nazism is, we need to define what the historical German National Socialism was. I'd sum it up in six points: 1) anti-Semitism and folkish German nationalism; 2) the doctrine of inequality between races, nations and men (the 'theory of personality' as Hitler calls it); 3) the leader principle, or Führerprinzip; 4) anti-communism; 5) the importance of improving the lot of the working class and recruiting from the working-class; 6) the importance of struggle - that the good things in life (or in politics at least) can only be won by struggle. One can find the best explication of these doctrines in Mein Kampf.

 And what is neo-Nazism? It's most commonly defined as an attempt to revive those doctrines. A.V. Schaerffenberg's Nazi Questions and Answers (2008) gives us the best introduction to neo-Nazism, Yockey's Imperium (1948) the most impressive intellectual foundation.

Neither of these authors really revise the doctrines of Hitler: by and large, they leave them unchanged. In the same way, Marxist-Leninism hasn't changed much in the past hundred years. The immutability of both these ideas - Leninism and Hitlerism - explains their survival into the 21st century. Neo-Nazism itself has been around in one shape or form for seventy years.

This long-livedness makes it superior, in my eyes, to other 'nationalist' and Far Right ideologies and tendencies. Recently an excellent article appeared in the Occidental Observer on the shortcomings of the Nouvelle Droit or European New Right - a school of thought which rose to prominence in the 1970s and 1980s and then went the way of all fads. I can imagine newer tendencies, such as the Alt Right, going the same way. Neo-Nazism outlived the European New Right and will outlive the Alt Right, simply because intellectual ideas need to be given political form, and this is what neo-Nazism does for the intellectuals - it gives them a party. This is what the original Nazism and fascism did as well. The European New Right made a hero out of Carl Schmitt, who, it will be remembered, joined the NSDAP (along with Martin Heidegger, another New Right hero) in 1933.

 The fascist parties gave intellectuals of the Right a home, the communist parties, the intellectuals of the Left. Communism and fascism resemble one another. Both make a fetish of the great individual, the man of genius, what Marx disparages as the 'cult of personality', and it's this side of the German National Socialist doctrine, I think, which tends to rub its critics up the wrong way. These men - ostensibly 'Far Right' and 'nationalist' and 'racialist' - don't believe in Hitler's genius because they hold to egalitarian theories. They subscribe to a form of Marxism. We know that Marxist theory teaches that all men are equal and that the masses - in particular, the working-classes - are the ones who make history. (In practice, the Marxist regimes of Russia, China, North Korea, Cuba, Vietnam, East Germany and the rest put their leaders on a pedestal and made a cult of them: the communist party line was that the revolutions in those respective countries were brought about by the individual initiative of those very great men...). The anti-Hitlerians take egalitarianism at face value. They don't follow the doctrine of racialism to its logical conclusion: that if you believe in the inequality of races, then you must believe in the inequality of nations - and men. And, from the inequality of men, we can deduce the Führerprinzip: responsibility for political decisions must be reserved for those superior men, the men who are (in Spengler's words) 'master-types' to whom the masses owe unquestioning obedience. In the words of the Italian Fascist slogan, 'Believe, obey, fight!'.

 In National Socialist propaganda, the Führer, the German Volk and the Wehrmacht form three pillars of the German national genius. The Hitler detractors take umbrage to this: how can one nation (Germany) set itself above another? Doesn't white nationalism preach that white nations such as Ireland, Portugal, Bulgaria, Finland, Serbia and Montenegro are all equal?

And on the subject of Hitler's alleged genius, his critics accuse him with making many questionable decisions (the implication being that had they been in charge, they would have done better). They don't believe in his greatness, and what's more, don't believe that any man - much less a politician - can be great.

 Oddly enough, it's the Left which understands the theories of 'personality' (viz., the cult of individual genius) and Führerprinzip - and national greatness too. While the anti-Hitlerians may decry neo-Nazi celebrations of Hitler's birthday as cultish, the Left has no problems with celebrating Martin Luther King's birthday and making it an American national holiday. Likewise, after the 1917 October revolution, the Left made a fetish of Russia and Russian nationalism (and Russian imperialism), recognising Russia as a superior nation. One may wonder, how many Anglophone left-wing intellectuals after 1917 strove to learn Russian? Or, after 1949, Chinese? As for democracy, the communist parties which made up the Comintern (and later the Trotskyite Internationals) were never that big on it. Even today, the communist parties run their organisations like disciplined military units and their members show more self-restraint, more subordination to authority, than our present nationalist mob. But one could say that the Marxist-Leninism of Stalin, Mao, Trotsky represents a dishonest fascism, a mealy-mouthed, hypocritical fascism which is unable to say, plainly and frankly, what it is.

One may object to German National Socialism on the grounds that it was for Germans only - that National Socialism doesn't carry across to white nations other than Germany. But we need to look at this in context. After WWI, Europe was ruled by four Great Powers, each with their sovereign independence, each with a number of smaller countries (and colonies) within their sphere of influence: Germany, Britain, France and Italy. By 1939, France and Britain had lost their sovereignty and had fallen, along with Poland, under the sway of America; by the middle of 1944, Germany, the sole power on the Continent, was engaged in a ferocious struggle with the US for control of Europe. It was in this period that Italy ceased to be a sovereign political unit. The project of Italian Fascism - along with the fascisms of Spain, Portugal, France, Belgium, Holland, etc. - became subordinated to the German. In connection with this, it must be recalled that Hitler's racialism was not directed at the Negroes or the Muslims or Chinese or Indians but against the Jews. By 1944 the Italian racial doctrine became explicitly Hitlerian; Fascist Italy, along with France and other European countries, had consented to the round-up and deportation of Jews. Politically and intellectually, all fascism and Far Rightism by 1944 had become Germanised and 'Nazi'; paraphrasing Sir William Harcourt, Europe's Right had said, in effect, 'We're all Nazis now'. This is why I characterise neofascism (the remnants of fascism which survived the war) as neo-Nazi.

 Despite the 'Germanness' of the National Socialist doctrine, and despite the fact that it was implemented eighty years ago, many of its ideas could still be carried across to other white countries (and solve a good many social and political problems thereby). In Australia, a nationalist government could introduce labour laws modelled on National Socialist Germany's; young men and women could be conscripted into an Australian version of the Hitler Youth and the League of German Girls (both of which were patterned on communist youth formations).

 But it goes without saying that, in these times, an insurmountable wall prevents us from introducing anything like Hitlerism here (or, for that matter, any Western country). Communist and fascist youth organisations originated in countries which were ethnically homogenous. In many Melbourne and Sydney schools, the non-whites - who are the children of non-white immigrants - can often outnumber the Aussies, and a mixed-race nationalist and fascist youth organisation, composed of Aussies and non-whites, would be a contradiction in terms. (For that matter, it's difficult to imagine Chinese or Russian communist youth organisations with members who are African). Much of historical fascism can't be transposed to the modern era. In today's multi-culti, bastardised, mixed-race Western societies, the old slogan, 'Ein volk, ein Reich, ein Führer' - 'One people, one kingdom, one leader' - doesn't hold true and can't hold true. George Lincoln Rockwell, who died in 1967, and Francis Parker Yockey, who died in 1960, would have been shocked and appalled by today's Melbourne, Los Angeles, London, Rome, Athens...

II.

One can't turn the clock back, and all the ideologies on the Far Right today face the same uphill battle. We can't return to the same ethnically homogenous societies of the 1960s and even the 1970s and 1980s - at least, not without a terrible fight.

Now, I think that neo-Nazism - with its doctrine of the importance of struggle - is uniquely suited to that task; but a great many of its critics on the Far Right don't agree. Despite the fact that everywhere on the Far Right it dominates - and even the detractors of German National Socialism, such as Greg Johnson of Counter-Currents, pay lip service to it and make their bread and butter from it - it doesn't rank high in the opinion of many. Like that other venerable racialist movement, the Ku Klux Klan, it has fallen into disrepute. Duke admitted, in his autobiography My Awakening (1998), that by the end of the 1970s, the mass infiltration of provocateurs (and degenerates) into the Klan had turned it into a violent and criminal organisation, hardly a vehicle for the white man's racial struggle; Duke had no choice but to leave. Neo-Nazism finds itself in a similar quandary. It's now tainted by an association with skinheadism, which is as unlike the historical German National Socialism as could be (see here).

 One has to ask if the powers that be deliberately engineered this situation. Did they use their power and influence in mass media and popular culture to help create the skinhead subculture and push it towards neo-Nazism, and to eventually make the skinhead subculture the public face of neo-Nazism? I've heard speculation along those lines from a few people on the nationalist scene; one of them is Esben Kristensen, the leader of the National Socialist Movement of Denmark (DNSB). As Kristensen notes, the shaven heads, bomber jackets, braces and Doc Marten boots look 'stupid'. It could be that the enemy has waged psychological warfare against its political opponents by manipulating the more impressionable and naive of them to adopt a 'stupid' look. In addition, the enemy has succeeded in encouraging an ethos of immoral and degenerate behaviour - violence, alcoholism, wife-beating - of making that behaviour acceptable, if not laudable, within the confines of that group.

 If we trace the history of skinheadism, it can be seen that skinheadism turned neo-Nazi after the formation of several skinhead rock bands under the aegis of the British National Front after 1978 - precisely at the point when the National Front had become the third-largest political party in Britain and a threat to the British establishment.

One should ask: who, exactly, introduced skinheadism into the British nationalist scene at that time? Who encouraged it to grow, flourish? And doesn't it to stand to reason that the British 'Deep State' would have taken some form of action in 1978 to disrupt, divert or destroy the National Front - and British Nationalism - by utilising provocateurs and degrading the morale of British nationalists through infiltration and subversion...

III.

It's quite true that skinheads belong to the working class - as do the chavs and bogans - and the working classes, as pointed out earlier, form the bulwark of any National Socialism, whether it be of the historical German National Socialist or the neo-Nazi variety. But, in order to defend myself, I will quote scripture here. This is a famous passage from Mein Kampf:

[The worker] cannot be raised from his present standing and incorporated in the.. folk-community by means of goody-goody meetings where people talk about the brotherhood of the people; but rather by a systematic improvement in the social and cultural life of the worker until the yawning abyss between him and the other classes can be filled in. A movement which has this for its aim must try to recruit its followers mainly from the ranks of the working class. It must include members of the intellectual classes only in so far as such members have rightly understood and accepted without reserve the ideal towards which the movement is striving. This process of transformation and reunion cannot be completed within ten or twenty years. It will take several generations, as the history of such movements has shown.

The most difficult obstacle to the reunion of our contemporary worker in the national folk-community does not consist so much in the fact that he fights for the interests of his fellow-workers but rather in the international ideas [i.e., communism] with which he is imbued and which are of their nature at variance with the ideas of nationhood and fatherland. This hostile attitude to nation and fatherland has been inculcated by the leaders of the working class. If they were inspired by the principle of devotion to the nation in all that concerns its political and social welfare, the trades unions would make those millions of workers most valuable members of the national community, without thereby affecting their own constant struggle for their economic demands...

The reservoir from which the young movement has to draw its members will first of all be the working masses. Those masses must be delivered from the clutches of the international mania. Their social distress must be eliminated. They must be raised above their present cultural level, which is deplorable, and transformed into a resolute and valuable factor in the folk-community, inspired by national ideas and national sentiment.

A few sentences stand out here: the worker must be raised from his present standing 'by a systematic improvement in the social and cultural life of the worker until the yawning abyss between him and the other classes can be filled in...'; the masses 'must be raised above their present cultural level, which is deplorable, and transformed into a resolute and valuable factor in the folk-community, inspired by national ideas and national sentiment'. Hitler places the emphasis on lifting the working classes up, improving their culture and their conditions, ennobling them. The skinhead movement can't be said to be Hitlerian in this regard; neither can chavvish nationalist and Far Right movements such as the English Defence League and Britain First.

 My point is that the system - the 'Deep State' - understands this, and understands it better than most nationalists; it could be that it has concocted the neo-Nazi skinhead movement, or at least helped it grow, as a means of sabotaging neo-Nazism and Far Right nationalism in general.

To many on the Far Right, this sort of thinking seems conspiratorial, and what's more, galling - it implies that we nationalists have little to no agency and that we are easily manipulated and duped by the political establishment. But such conspiratorial-minded views are gradually becoming more and more accepted. Most of us on the Far Right believe that the notorious Combat 18 was a creation of the 'Deep State' as was the German NSU (National Socialist Underground). We have our suspicions about the EDL (English Defence League) and Britain First looks more and more fishy by the day as well. As for Jack 'The Pak' Sen's British Renaissance, the less said, the better. Nationalists are getting wise to all this...

Aside from creating provocateur and front organisations from scratch, the 'Deep State' avails itself of the method of inserting provocateurs into the scene. This is what the German 'Deep State' has done to German nationalism (neo-Nazism). As Carolyn Yeager writes of the NSU trial,

In various parliamentary inquiries as well as during the trial itself, every effort to pin down what happened meets a barrier when it comes up against the intelligence services. The most sensational case is that of Andreas T., an informant leader who was sitting in the Internet cafe in Kassel on April 6, 2006 when the owner, Halit Yozgat, was shot. Andreas T. lied, pretending that he didn't even know of the place. Police investigations on the suspicion of murder were shelved to protect his identity from becoming known, and the files of Hesse's intelligence service remain under lock and key.
Tino Brandt is another key figure for connections between the NSU and the intelligence services. The Thuringian “Nazi” was unmasked as an informant in 2001 and was branded a traitor in the right-wing scene. Since then, he's been convicted and sentenced for sexually assaulting a minor. The secret informers for the intelligence services are a pretty sleazy bunch. I believe these informers are there to stir up activism and petty crime that they can then report to the intelligence service, giving them cause for cracking down on right-wing parties or organizations.

The venerable German neo-Nazi party, the National Democratic Party of Germany, has become hopelessly riddled with informers and provocateurs. In response to a speech by Michèle Renouf, 'In defence of Germany's National Democratic Party', one acerbic commentator wrote:

Petronius
Posted March 14, 2016 at 7:06 pm |

NPD is by now a tiny, powerless, incompetent, non-influential, rapidly vanishing party, dozing in a limbo state or zombie mode, undermined to the hilt by Verfassungsschutz snitches and agent provocateurs, thus kept alive by the state to always have a brown bogeyman and a garbage dump for any right-wing thought ready. It is also burdened with a substantial share of hopelessly narrowminded sectarian NS nostalgics blocking any progress or broader popular appeal. I hope it dies as soon as possible, being undead already.
Finally, it should be noted that the German neo-Nazis do their cause no good when they make use of street-fighting tactics. Like the EDL, Britain First, the National Front and countless other British Far Right groups, the German nationalists make a practice of provocatively marching through indifferent or hostile neighbourhoods with the intention of arousing the communist Left, who show up in large numbers with the intention of 'smashing the fascists'. In what becomes a waste of taxpayer's money, large numbers of police are required to keep the two warring parties apart, and the bewildered and alienated townsfolk are treated to the sight of one group of misfits screaming and chanting at another group of misfits separated by a police line. The nationalists here are behaving like an invading army and they don't do any political work - they don't canvass the locals and try and work out what their concerns are. And by not appearing smart and well-turned out (like Norbert Hofer, Nigel Farage, Marine Le Pen) and by dressing in weird outfits, they don't give those same locals a positive impression of nationalism.

 The large presence of skinheads and provocateurs in their ranks, along with the reliance upon confrontational tactics, explains, to a great extent, the decline in the NPD's electoral fortunes and the dim view Germans have of them. It's no wonder, then, that German voters are abandoning them for Alternative for Germany (AfD).

III.

It's parties such as the Freedom Party of Austria (FPÖ) and the AfD which point the way forward for neo-Nazis - on the Continent and elsewhere in the West. The politicians of the FPÖ have enjoyed their recent success by campaigning mostly on local issues. Grass-roots politics is combined with a concern for social welfare. In an AFP article, 'Even in "Red Vienna", Austrian far-right is king' (May 7th, 2016), we find:

Paul Stadler, since October the FPOe head of Simmering council, is no fan of mass immigration, of Muslim "parallel societies" or "economic migrants" taking jobs from Austrians.

"Austria is still a Christian country, and at the moment it looks like we are being overrun by Islamism," Stadler told AFP. "We have 500,000 unemployed. The more we take in, the harder it is to deal with the native inhabitants."

But, he says, such matters are "for the television". His job as a local politician is to deal with day-to-day concerns like public transport -- something the left forgot how to do.

"The SPOe were very arrogant. They didn't listen to the people any more, they governed over their heads," Stadler said in his office in Simmering town hall. "We talk to the people, find out what the problems are and deal with them."

That strategy has won the FPÖ hundreds of thousands of working-class votes. It can be applied here in Australia. Nationalist activists campaigning for office only need to relegate Holocaust denial, anti-Semitism, 'debating anti-whites' and 'fighting white genocide', the rights and wrongs of the wars in Syria and the Ukraine, predictions of race wars, conspiracy theories regarding the New World Order, to the background - the masses aren't interested in these subjects as we are - and concentrate on what the above AFP article calls 'day to day concerns'. Instead of imposing our ideological preoccupations and obsessions on the masses, we allow the masses to impose their wants, worries and cares on us.

 In Australia, we should look at running at the council level, not at the state and federal - which are the province of the two major parties. The councils represent the one chink in the enemy's armour.

To some, I may appear to be contradicting myself here: that I'm advocating neo-Nazism on one hand and advocating the doing away with it on the other. But one's radical ideology needn't be thrown out the window in the pursuit of electoral success: one can be a grass-roots populist and at the same time retain a political world-view which is radical and intellectual. The Militant Tendency in Liverpool in the 1980s gives us the best example of this. That crackbrained Trotskyite outfit infiltrated local Labour Party branches in Liverpool, got themselves elected to the City Council, and within a short amount of time achieved absolute control over that body. How did they do this? By listening to the working-classes and by breaking down Trotskyism - which, like all Marxist-Leninist theories, is highly esoteric and intellectual - into layman's terms. One could say that they returned Bolshevism to its roots. I argue that the same can be done for Hitlerism.